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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Stays Below $2,450 – Focus on Geopolitical Risks and US Economic Data

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Gold price forecast (XAU/USD) is trading around $2,430 this morning. The US Dollar’s recent rebound is causing gold prices to dip. However, this drop might not be significant due to rising tensions in the Middle East.

Impact of Geopolitical Tensions

Tensions in the Middle East are likely to support gold price forecast. Recent reports indicate that the conflict is worsening. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant told US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin that Iran might be preparing for a major attack on Israel, according to Axios writer Barak Ravid.

Safe-Haven Demand and Market Outlook

Geopolitical impact on gold risks and market uncertainty are likely to boost demand for gold. “The outlook for gold remains positive. Any price drops are expected to be short-lived due to strong macroeconomic factors,” says Zain Vawda, a market analyst at MarketPulse by OANDA.

US Economic Data and Federal Reserve Policy

There is debate about the Federal Reserve’s next steps. Will they cut rates by 50 basis points (bps) or 25 bps? This week’s economic reports, including the Producer Price Index (PPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI), and Retail Sales, might offer clues. Strong data could delay or reduce the likelihood of further Fed rate cuts, affecting gold price forecast.

Here’s what to keep an eye on:

  • Geopolitical News: Watch for any updates on the situation in the Middle East.
  • Economic Reports: Look for news on the PPI, CPI, and Retail Sales for hints about the US economy.
  • Market Reactions: Notice how these factors affect gold prices and adjust your investment plans as needed.

For the latest updates on gold prices, visit Daily Gold Signal and check out the Daily Gold Update.

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